ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical 
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, 
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions 
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
    

000
AXNT20 KNHC 240538
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Jan 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0600 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move across
the basin Sunday and Monday. Arctic high pressure settling in behind
the front is expected to drive strong to near-gale-force NW winds
across NW portions of the Gulf Sun and Sun night. Gale conditions
are possible over the offshore waters of Tampico Sun night into 
Mon, and over the waters offshore Veracruz on Mon and Mon night. 
Seas will quickly build behind the front as well, with rough to 
very rough seas expected. Seas look to peak around 16-18 ft in the
SW Gulf on Monday.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National 
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Sierra
Leone near 08N13W, then continues SW to near 06N16W. The ITCZ 
extends from 06N16W to 01N23W to 03N33W to 00N48W. Scattered
moderate to strong convection is noted from 01N to 06N between 20W
and 45W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends across the northern Gulf waters, from the 
western Florida Panhandle to 27N92W and to the central coast of 
Texas. Scattered showers are seen near this boundary, while
moderate to fresh NE winds and seas of 3-5 ft prevail north of the
front. Otherwise, a surface ridge dominates the remainder of the 
Gulf region supporting a gentle to moderate E wind flow and slight
seas. 

For the forecast, a cold front extending from the central Florida
Panhandle to 27.5N87W and to the central Texas coast will linger 
through Sat morning before it lifts N as a warm front, ahead of a 
strong Arctic cold front expected Sat afternoon. The cold front 
will approach the Texas coast early on Sat, then stall across the 
Texas coastal waters Sat afternoon as low pressure forms near the 
southern Texas coast and rides NE along the front through Sun. The
front will then move SE across the entire basin Sun through Mon 
evening. Strong reinforcing Arctic high pressure behind the front 
is expected to produce near gale force winds across NW portions of
the Gulf Sun and Sun night, then possible gale conditions over 
the offshore waters of Tampico Sun night into Mon, then gales over
the waters offshore Veracruz on Mon and Mon night. Conditions 
will improve quickly from NW to SE Tue through Wed as the front 
moves SE into the NW Caribbean.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The most recent scatterometer passes show fresh to strong trades 
over the south-central to SW Caribbean due to the pressure 
gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and the 
Colombian/Panamanian low. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds. 
Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere 
across the eastern and central Caribbean, including the Windward 
Passage. Gentle to moderate winds and slight seas prevail across 
the NW part of the basin.

For the forecast, broad central Atlantic high pressure will 
maintain mostly fresh trades over the eastern and central 
Caribbean as well as the Tropical N Atlantic waters through early 
next week, while fresh winds offshore of Colombia pulse to strong 
speeds at night through Sun, then to near gale force afterward 
into midweek. Large E swell over the Tropical N Atlantic will 
slowly subside through the weekend, but remain around 8 ft through
early next week. A cold front will enter the NW Caribbean late 
Mon and begin to stall from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras 
by late Tue into Wed. Strong northerly winds will follow the front
before slowly diminishing to moderate to fresh speeds Wed. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front is analyzed from the Moroccan coast near 26N15W to 
25N21W to 26N29W, where it transitions to a shear line that 
extends to 31N38W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are N 
of the front and shear line. Very rough seas of 12-16 ft are seen
N of 28N. Elsewhere, surface ridging dominates much of the 
Atlantic, with fresh to strong trades and seas of 7-11 ft 
prevailing across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and E of 60W. 
Moderate to fresh trades and 6-8 ft seas are S of 25N between 60W 
and 70W, with moderate or weaker winds and seas elsewhere. 

For the forecast west of 55W, weak 1017 mb low pressure is near 
29N74.5W, with a trough extending SW into the NW Bahamas. 
Meanwhile, high pressure is centered across the central Atlantic 
and extends a broad ridge to just S of Bermuda. The low and ridge 
will shift slowly NE through Sat night. Fresh to strong S to SW 
winds will develop over the NW forecast waters Sun evening through
early Mon in advance of a strong Arctic cold front that is 
expected to move offshore northeastern Florida early Mon. Winds to
near gale will develop just N of the area early on Mon. The front
will reach from near 31N70W to the NW Bahamas and Straits of 
Florida early Mon evening, from near 31N56W to the SE Bahamas and 
eastern Cuba Tue evening, then weaken as it reaches from near 
31N50W to 27N60W and stationary to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba
by late on Wed. Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough seas 
are expected W of the front Mon afternoon through Tue, becoming 
mostly fresh NE winds on Wed within about 180 nm NW of the frontal
boundary. 

$$
Adams
  

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather 
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific 
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the 
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

166 
AXPZ20 KNHC 240909
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Jan 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0820 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 10N85W to 04N95W to
03N102W. The ITCZ continues from 03N102W to 07N120W to beyond 
08N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 18N 
between 107W and 123W, and from 07N to 11N between 124W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A 1011 mb low pressure center is just NW of Punta Eugenia from
which a surface trough extends SW across the Baja California Sur
offshore waters to 17N124W. High pressure WNW of the area 
supports moderate to locally fresh NW winds in the wake of the 
trough, currently affecting the Baja California offshore waters 
N of Cabo San Lazaro as recent scatterometer data indicate. Seas
are slight to moderate within these winds. Moderate SW and NW
winds associated with this trough are also affecting the southern
Gulf of California where seas are slight. Elsewhere across the 
Mexican offshore waters, including Tehuantepec, light to gentle 
winds and slight to moderate seas in NW swell prevail.

For the forecast, the aforementioned surface trough will move 
across the offshore forecast waters of Baja California Sur through
this morning, and across the southern Gulf of California through
late this afternoon. The pressure gradient between the trough 
and high pressure building southward across the forecast region 
will support fresh to locally strong NW winds in the wake of the 
trough. Similar wind speeds are also expected just ahead of the 
trough axis. These winds will diminish to 15 kt or less by this 
evening. Looking ahead, the next gap wind event in the 
Tehuantepec region is slated to begin Mon morning with winds 
rapidly increasing to strong gale force. Winds will further 
increase to storm force by Mon evening. Rough to very rough seas,
likely reaching around 28 ft will be associated with this event.
Marine interests transiting across the Gulf of Tehuantepec early
next week should be aware of this strong gap wind event, and 
take the necessary action to avoid hazardous marine conditions 
over the affected waters. 

Of note: The monthly distribution of Tehuantepec events shows 
that the largest number of gale force events occurs in December.
Storm-force events occur most often in January. 

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds are across the Papagayo 
region and downwind to about 90W. Seas are 3 to 6 ft within 
these winds. Moderate to locally fresh N winds with slight to 
moderate seas prevail in the Gulf of Panama. Elsewhere, winds 
are light to gentle with moderate seas in mixed SW and NW swell.

For the forecast, high pressure N of the area will support fresh
to strong NE to E winds and rough seas in the Papagayo region 
through Sun morning. Fresh to strong winds in this region will 
resume again Mon morning, potentially reaching near gale-force 
speeds by late Tue afternoon with rough seas. Moderate to fresh N
winds will continue to pulse in the Gulf of Panama through Wed 
night. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker through the 
middle of the next week. Otherwise, rough to very rough seas 
generated by a strong gap wind event in the Tehuantepec region 
will propagate across the offshore forecast waters of Guatemala 
and El Salvador beginning Mon night, and subside Wed evening. 
Fresh to gale-force N winds will also affect the western portion
of the Guatemala and El Salvador offshores Mon evening through 
Tue evening.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge extends across the subtropical forecast waters
and into the deep tropics to about 14N. South of the ridge and
along 124W, a surface trough is generating a large area of
scattered showers and isolated tstms. Recent scatterometer data
show moderate to fresh NE to E winds ahead of the trough or W of
124W. Altimeter data show moderate seas to 7 ft within this area
of winds. Locally strong winds are ongoing within the area of
tstms per recent scatterometer data. Elsewhere, winds are 
moderate or weaker and seas are moderate in mixed NE and NW 
swell.

For the forecast, high pressure will build southward across the
forecast region over the weekend with a high pressure cell 
developing near 32N135W. The high pressure will move E by Mon
evening as a cold front approaches the NW corner of the
subtropical forecast waters. Fresh to strong winds are expected 
on either side of the front from Mon afternoon through Tue
afternoon when the front is forecast to extend from 31N129W to
25N131W before dissipating by Wed evening just W of the Baja
California offshore waters. Rough seas associated with the front
will start affecting the subtropical waters from W to E Mon
evening through Fri when seas will begin to subside.

$$
Ramos
  

No Storms to Report