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Tropical Atlantic & Pacific Basin Outlooks & Discussions
Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
$$ Forecaster Bucci NNNN
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
000
AXNT20 KNHC 052336
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Dec 6 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 08N13W to 06N22W. The ITCZ
continues from 06N22W to 09N56W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is observed south of 13N between 11W and 36W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from the Florida Panhandle near 30N85W to
25N93.5W, where it becomes stationary and continues through the
Bay of Campeche to 19N96W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring in the northern Gulf behind the front, north of 27N.
Mainly moderate N to NE winds and 4 to 7 ft seas are noted north
and west of the front, with locally fresh NW winds and seas to 8
ft occurring offshore of Veracruz. Mainly moderate SE to SW winds
and 2 to 3 ft seas are noted over the remainder of the basin ahead
of the front.
For the forecast, winds and seas will diminish behind the
aforementioned cold front this evening and tonight. Mainly
moderate or weaker winds are then expected over the basin into
Sun. Looking ahead, a new cold front is expected to enter the
northwestern Gulf Sun evening and sweep over the basin into early
next week, leading to fresh to strong N to NW winds and building
seas in the wake of the front. Gale-force NW-N winds may develop
off Veracruz Mon afternoon and evening. Winds and seas will
diminish Tue into Wed as the front stalls across the NW Caribbean
and W Cuba.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure north of the Caribbean Sea supports fresh trades in
the central and eastern Caribbean, along with 5-7 ft seas.
Moderate to locally fresh E to NE winds and 2-5 ft seas prevail
across western portions of the Caribbean. Rough seas of 8-10 ft
in E swell are occurring east of the Lesser Antilles and through
the Atlantic Passages. A weak upper level trough and pockets of
enhanced moisture in the central Caribbean are also leading to
scattered moderate convection occurring in a region from 14N to
17N between 75W and 82W.
For the forecast, a moderate pressure gradient between weak high
pressure centered north of the Greater Antilles and lower
pressures in northern South America will sustain moderate to fresh
E trade winds and moderate seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the middle of next week. Moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. A
persistent E-NE swell will support rough seas in the Atlantic
passages of the Lesser Antilles through the forecast period.
Looking ahead, a weakening cold front may approach the
northwestern Caribbean on Tue and linger across the area through
Wed.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough is analyzed from 31N51W to near 23N67W.
Scattered moderate convection is seen along the trough axis from
26N56W northeastward. Moderate to locally fresh SW winds and 6-9
ft seas are noted ahead of this feature generally N of 28N and W
of 45W. Another trough follows and extends from 31N54W to near
23N73W. A shift from gentle S winds south of this trough to
moderate to locally fresh N winds north of the trough is noted.
To the west, a 1018 mb low near 29N67W extends another frontal
remnant trough southwestward through the Bahamas and Florida
Straits. No significant convection or wind shifts are observed
with this feature. Off the east coast of FL and north of the
Bahamas, a strengthening 1011 mb low is driving moderate to fresh
S to SW winds ahead of a cold front pushing off the southeast
coast of the United States.
In the east Atlantic, an upper level low over the Canary Islands
embedded within a broad upper level trough is leading to the
development of scattered showers near the islands. Farther south,
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring east
of 36W. Outside of convection, a surface ridging pattern is
prevalent across the Atlantic, resulting in moderate to fresh
trades and 6-9 ft seas across much of the basin S of 20N, as well
as areas N of 20N and E of 35W. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail across much of the remainder of the
Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, a frontal trough extending from S
of Bermuda to east of the Bahamas is expected to move eastward
across the central Atlantic through Sat, leading to fresh winds
and rough seas north of 27N and east of 65W through tonight.
Meanwhile, fresh to locally strong SW winds and moderate seas
prevail off NE Florida ahead of the next cold front that will
enter the area tonight. These winds and seas will push quickly
eastward Sat into Sat night. The front will extend from near
Bermuda to central Florida by early Sun morning and dissipate Sun
evening. Looking ahead, a complex low pressure system and strong
cold front will move through the northwestern tropical Atlantic by
early next week, supporting widespread fresh to strong winds and
building seas ahead of and behind the front Mon through Tue.
$$
ADAMS
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Tropical Weather Outlook
Eastern Pacific
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
$$ Forecaster Gibbs NNNN
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Eastern Pacific
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060208
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Dec 6 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0000 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 09N100W to 08.5N112.5W.
The ITCZ continues from 08.5N112.5W to 09N120W to beyond 07N140W.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 04N to 09.5N
between 79W and 94W, from 07N to 09.5N between 105W and 113W, and
from 07N to 09.5N between 116W and 120W. Scattered moderate to
strong convection is noted from 11N to 20N between 101W and 110W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
A surface trough is analyzed over northwestern Mexico, and a
second trough extends southward along Baja California to near the
Revillagigedo Islands to 11N116W. The pressure gradient between
these features is supporting moderate to locally fresh winds
across the central and northern Gulf of California, and offshore
Baja California to the W of the trough axis. Meanwhile a surge of
northerly fresh to strong winds is noted offshore Mazatlan. Winds
are mainly light to gentle across the remainder of the waters.
Seas are mainly moderate except slight in the southern Gulf of
California. Active convection is noted offshore SW Mexico as
described above due to a lower to mid level trough with upper
level divergence off to the SE.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong northerly winds will
pulse offshore Mazatlan until late tonight as a moderate
pressure gradient prevails between troughing over northwestern
Mexico and a surface trough along Baja California. Farther
north, occasionally fresh N to NW winds are expected in the Gulf
of California through early next week. Looking ahead, strong to
near-gale force N gap winds and rough seas will develop in the
Gulf of Tehuantepec by early next week as a cold front moves over
the Gulf of America and high pressure builds in central Mexico
in the wake of the front.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Prevailing low pressure in the S-central Caribbean is supporting
moderate to locally fresh NE winds in the Gulf of Papagayo and
downwind to near 10N94W, with locally moderate N winds in the
Gulf of Panama. Gentle to moderate N to NE winds are occurring
elsewhere N of the monsoon trough, with mainly moderate S to SW
winds noted to the S of the monsoon trough. Moderate seas in
mixed NW and S swell prevail over the regional waters, except
slight nearshore Colombia and eastern Panama.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE gap winds will pulse in
the Gulf of Papagayo into early Sat as low pressure prevails in
the S-central Caribbean. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas in mixed NW and S swell are expected over the
regional waters into early next week. Looking ahead, high
pressure will build across interior Central America by the middle
of next week, supporting pulsing fresh winds in the Gulf of
Papagayo.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
A surface trough is analyzed along Baja California to near the
Revillagigedo Islands to 11N116W. Otherwise, high centered well
NW of the area extends a ridge through 30N134W to 14N120W to the
N of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Moderate to fresh NE winds and
6-9 ft seas in mixed NW and NE to E swell are occurring in this
region. To the S, mainly moderate S to SE winds and moderate
seas in NW swell prevail, locally rough near 05N109W.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds will occur
N of the monsoon trough and ITCZ into early next week as high
pressure dominates the eastern Pacific while the surface trough
lingers. Mainly gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere,
except locally fresh S of the monsoon trough and W of 110W at
times. Rough seas will build in the western waters N of 06N and
west of 127W this weekend before seas subside through early next
week. Moderate seas are expected elsewhere over the eastern
Pacific. A new set of rough NW swell may arrive over the NW
waters by the middle of next week.
$$
Lewitsky
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Central Pacific
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