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Tropical Atlantic & Pacific Basin Outlooks & Discussions
Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
$$ Forecaster Bucci NNNN
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
000
AXNT20 KNHC 260902
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Mar 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and continues
southwestward to 05N15W. The ITCZ extends from 05N15W to 01S40W
and to 01S46W. No significant convection is observed.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A recent scatterometer satellite pass confirmed fresh NE winds off
the western coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Weak high pressure
supports gentle to moderate breezes across the basin. Seas are 2-4
ft off the western Yucatan Peninsula, and 1-3 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist over the
northeast Gulf through late Fri. A trough over the Bay of Campeche
will support moderate to fresh winds off the northern and western
coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula, mainly at night, through Sat.
The next cold front will move into the northern Gulf Sat morning,
reach the southeast Gulf by Sun morning, and move southeast of the
basin late on Sun. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
will follow the front over the eastern Gulf Sat night through
early Mon. The pressure gradient will remain strong enough to
sustain fresh to strong east winds across the southeast Gulf and
the Straits of Florida through the middle of the next week.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough extends from the Bay Islands of Honduras to
14N80W and scattered showers are evident north of this boundary
and east of 75W. The pressure gradient between the ridge north of
the basin and lower pressures in northern South America forces
fresh to near gale-force NE-E winds and moderate to locally rough
seas in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas are found in the eastern Caribbean, off
southern Hispaniola, Windward Passage, lee of Cuba and NW
Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the area combined with
the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas offshore Colombia through early next week.
Looking ahead, high pressure will follow a strong cold front
moving through the western Atlantic this weekend, supporting fresh
to strong NE winds and building seas in the lee side of Cuba, the
Windward Passage, and just south of Hispaniola from Sun through
the early part of next week.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N58W to near Fort Pierce,
Florida. A few showers and thunderstorms are noted near this
boundary east of 75W. A recent scatterometer satellite pass
captured moderate to fresh easterly winds north of the stationary
front. A concurrent altimeter pass indicated 6-9 ft seas are
occurring with these winds.
For most of the remainder of the basin, a weak pressure gradient
is leading to moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. In the
far eastern Atlantic, moderate to fresh N-NE winds and rough seas
are impacting waters north of 20N and east of 27W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the fresh winds and rough seas
north of front will diminish overnight as the front dissipates.
Moderate winds and seas will prevail Thu through late Fri across
the region. Looking ahead, another strong cold front will move
into the waters offshore of northeast Florida by Sat morning, and
reach from 31N65W to central Florida by Sat night, and from 31N60W
to SE Florida by Sun morning. Strong to near-gale force winds and
rough to very rough seas will follow the front.
$$
Christensen
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Tropical Weather Outlook
Eastern Pacific
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.
$$ Forecaster Gibbs NNNN
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Eastern Pacific
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260956
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu Mar 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 07N08W to 07N85W to 05N88W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 05N118W and beyond
03N140W. Scattered moderate convection is from 01N to 07N between
85W and 110W, and from 02N to 06N between 126W and 138W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Recent scatterometer data show moderate to locally fresh NW
winds across the Baja California offshore waters, being the highest
winds over the coastal waters between Punta Eugenia and Cabo San
Lazaro. Altimeter data show moderate seas to 5 ft over these
waters. In the Tehuantepec region, fresh to near gale force N to
NE winds continue to pulse over the waters N of 13N where seas
are 7 to 8 ft. Light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
are ongoing elsewhere, including the Gulf of California.
For the forecast, light to gentle variable winds will prevail
over much of the offshore waters through Mon night. Northwest
swell will build seas to rough north of Punta Eugenia today
through Fri night before subsiding. Fresh to near gale force N to
NE gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will pulse through Mon
night, except for gale-force N winds forecast to develop Sat
through Sun driven by the passage of a cold front across the Gulf
of America. Moderate to rough seas will become very rough during
the peak winds period Sat and Sun.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh to strong NE winds are ongoing in the Papagayo region along
with slight to moderate seas. In the Gulf of Panama, N to NE
winds are moderate to fresh with slight to moderate seas.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds in the Gulf of
Papagayo region will continue to pulse through Mon night with
moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh northeast winds will
pulse in the Gulf of Panama with moderate seas through Mon night.
Gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas will prevail
elsewhere through the forecast period.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
The pressure gradient between a 1036 mb high pressure north of
the region and a low pressure west of 140W is supporting a broad
area of moderate to fresh NE to E winds N of 25N and W of 120W
along with moderate to rough seas in NW swell. Moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas in mixed swell are ongoing elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will
develop north of 26N and west of 119W today through Fri as the
pressure gradient tightens between a ridge building southward
across the north-central waters, and a low pressure system,
lifting northward west of the area. Rough seas over the northern
waters are forecast to subside below 8 ft Sat. Otherwise, a weak
front will approach the far NW waters on Mon, however little
impact on winds or seas is foreseen.
$$
Ramos
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Central Pacific
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