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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 250659

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0159 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

   Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Within the base of a robust midlevel trough moving eastward across
   the Northwest, 40-50-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow will
   overspread the northern Great Basin today. Downslope-aided warming
   and drying will promote deep boundary-layer mixing, allowing
   stronger flow aloft to efficiently mix to the surface ahead of an
   eastward-moving cold front. As a result, a corridor of 15-20 mph
   sustained west-southwesterly surface winds will combine with 15-20
   percent RH across parts of northern NV, southeastern OR, and
   southwestern ID this afternoon. Given at least modestly receptive
   fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected.
   A northerly wind shift is expected behind the cold front this
   evening, though weaker post-frontal wind speeds should limit
   additional fire-weather concerns.

   ..Weinman.. 09/25/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 250659

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0159 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A midlevel trough will gradually amplify over the West on Saturday
   afternoon, resulting in strengthening deep-layer southerly flow
   across parts of the southern and central Great Basin. Deep
   boundary-layer mixing will support south-southwesterly surface winds
   of 15-20 mph amid afternoon RH of 15-20 percent. While locally
   elevated fire-weather conditions are possible across
   southern/central NV, marginal fuels should generally limit
   fire-weather concerns.

   ..Weinman.. 09/25/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 242115

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0415 PM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026

   Valid 261200Z - 021200Z

   ...Discussion...
   A coastal low will continue to strengthen just off the Mid-Atlantic
   coast, bringing gusty surface winds and precipitation chances across
   New England this weekend. Meanwhile, an upper shortwave trough will
   lift out of the Northern Rockies and into the Canadian Prairies.
   Upper winds will moderate slightly on Day 3/Saturday, though an
   emerging 30-40 kt 700 mb jet will maintain dry and breezy conditions
   across portions of the Great Basin through Day 4/Sunday. The
   expected overlap of sustained southerly 15-20 mph winds and near 15%
   RH would typically increase fire weather concerns, but such
   meteorological conditions will overlap a region of marginal fuels;
   thus, precluding Critical probabilities at this time. 

   Predictability wanes into early next week with ambiguity in the
   progression of the overall pattern; however, the development of
   deeper troughing over the western CONUS may induce an offshore flow
   regime in Southern California on Days 5-6/Monday-Tuesday.
   Additionally, some tropical influence from Hurricane Polo could
   bring increased moisture to the southwestern CONUS early next week.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/24/2026
      




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